DISQUS

Bilgrimage: Latest Financial Filings of Campaign to Remove Right of Marriage from Maine's Gay Citizens: Big Money from Catholic Diocese and NOM, Donors Unknown

  • terenceweldon · 2 months ago
    Bill, both the polls and Nate Silver's analyses show the result will be close, but with "No" (i.e for marriage) with a narrow edge. The critical factor will be turnout on the day. With previous marriage ballots, the opposition has tended to do better than the polls, bit this time may be different.

    If No one 1 is outraising the opposition, and the bulk of their money is coming from NOM and the diocese, then the small donors supporting equality are vastly outgunning the opposition.

    This corroborates the anecdotal evidence I am reading. We may be seeing this time, that for once our side are more energised on the day than the other. (This could also be helped by a simultaneous ballot on marijuana) .

    We'll see soon enough.
  • WDL · 2 months ago
    This is definitely a vote to watch, Terry. I've been following Nate Silver's reports, too, and hope they're correct. What concerns me is both the question of voter turnout and the tendency of people not to report accurately how they intend to vote, when they're polled about issues like this.

    What does seem clear is that there's a constant, if slow, demographic trend in the direction of support for gay marriage. The groups opposing same-sex marriage have to work harder and harder, and spend more and more money, to reach a bare majority vote in many cases now. And before long, their ability to get even that bare majority is going to disappear.

    People are waking up to the fact that they've been lied to, and that hatred does not build a healthy society. Younger people see this more clearly than their elders, and that demographic trend bodes well for a diminution of prejudice in this area.
  • Jim McCrea · 2 months ago
    And we are surprised at yet another example of scurrilous, underhanded, unChristian behavior by Holy Muddy the Church because .....????

    Jim McCrea
  • WDL · 2 months ago
    Not surprised, sadly, Jim. But determined to keep the news out there--which is to say, to keep the spotlight shining. All that's done under cover of darkness becomes harder to do when the light shines in.